Where Burnley are predicted to finish after their disastrous start to the season
Where Burnley are predicted to finish at the end of the season
Burnley are still expected to maintain their Championship status despite their disastrous start to the season.
The Clarets find themselves rooted inside the relegation zone after winning just one of their first 12 games of the season.
Saturday’s 4-1 humbling at Lincoln City proved to be the final straw for Nicky Hayen, who lost his job as Burnley boss after just 106 days.
Despite Burnley’s woes, the Betarades supercomputer, BETSiE, still has the Clarets to finish safely in mid-table.
It’s well off their pre-season predictions, which had Burnley in contention for another automatic promotion back to the Premier League, but at least they’re away from any danger.
The model simulated the league season 100,000 times, accounting for all match results from pre-season, the previous campaign and the current season to date.
It projects outcomes based on pre-season expectations, fixture difficulty, and underlying performance metrics such as xG for and against.
Here’s the forecasted final table:
- West Ham - 83.3 points
- Middlesbrough - 80.8
- Wolves - 78.9
- Southampton - 74.1
- Swansea City - 72.2
- Birmingham City - 69.6
- West Brom - 67.4
- Stoke City - 66.6
- QPR - 64.4
- Sheffield United - 63.7
- Wrexham - 63
- Norwich City - 62.6
- Millwall - 62.5
- Bristol City - 59.5
- Portsmouth - 59.4
- Burnley - 58.8
- Blackburn Rovers - 57.8
- Watford - 56
- Cardiff City - 54.5
- Lincoln City - 54.2
- Bolton Wanderers - 53.6
- Charlton Athletic - 53.2
- Derby County - 50.3
- Preston North End - 44.2
