Where Burnley are tipped to finish after their disastrous start to the season

Supercomputer predicts Burnley’s final finish

Burnley find themselves back inside the Championship’s bottom three following their Friday night defeat to Wolves.

Nicky Hayen’s side threw away the lead once again to lose 2-1 at Turf Moor, meaning their winless home league run now stretches to over a year.

Coupled with results elsewhere over the weekend, the Clarets now drop back to 22nd on just eight points from 11 games.

Despite Burnley’s woes, the Betarades supercomputer, BETSiE, still has Hayen’s side to finish safely in mid-table.

It’s well off their pre-season predictions, which had Burnley in contention for another automatic promotion back to the Premier League, but at least they’re away from any danger.

The model simulated the league season 100,000 times, accounting for all match results from pre-season, the previous campaign and the current season to date.

It projects outcomes based on pre-season expectations, fixture difficulty, and underlying performance metrics such as xG for and against.

Here’s the forecasted final table:

  1. West Ham - 85.1 points
  2. Middlesbrough - 79.3
  3. Wolves - 78.9
  4. Swansea - 73.4
  5. Southampton - 72.1
  6. Birmingham City - 70.8
  7. West Brom - 67.5
  8. Stoke City - 67.1
  9. Sheffield United - 64.4
  10. Wrexham - 64
  11. Millwall - 63.9
  12. QPR - 62.8
  13. Norwich City - 61.2
  14. Burnley - 60.5
  15. Bristol City - 59.7
  16. Portsmouth - 57.5
  17. Watford - 56.7
  18. Blackburn Rovers - 56.4
  19. Bolton Wanderers - 54.9
  20. Charlton Athletic - 54.4
  21. Cardiff City - 53
  22. Lincoln City - 52.5
  23. Derby County - 50.5
  24. Preston North End - 44.9
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