Eddie Howe, Manager of AFC Bournemouth talks to Sean Dyche, Manager of Burnley prior to the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Burnley FC at Vitality Stadium on December 21, 2019 in Bournemouth, United Kingdom.Eddie Howe, Manager of AFC Bournemouth talks to Sean Dyche, Manager of Burnley prior to the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Burnley FC at Vitality Stadium on December 21, 2019 in Bournemouth, United Kingdom.
Eddie Howe, Manager of AFC Bournemouth talks to Sean Dyche, Manager of Burnley prior to the Premier League match between AFC Bournemouth and Burnley FC at Vitality Stadium on December 21, 2019 in Bournemouth, United Kingdom.

Who is going down? Burnley offered ray of hope - despite loss to Leeds United - with Premier League relegation scrap expected to go right down to the wire!

Savvy statisticians at data specialists FiveThirtyEight have christened 2022 with their latest Premier League prediction.

Expert analysts have been crunching the numbers with the help of their SPI (Soccer Power Index) rating system and various metrics in order to project the final standings for the 2021-22 campaign.

The formula is complicated, but thorough, it's a matrix of possibilities and probabilities, which are then run through Monte Carlo simulations to play out each league’s season 20,000 times using those forecasts.

You can check out all their methodologies here.

There are no prizes for guessing which sides bookend the division, with Manchester City expected to defend their title while Norwich City have been forecasted to make an immediate return to the Championship, but everything in-between could be a closely run affair.

The race for the top four will be tight, as will be the battle to stave off relegation. Scroll through our gallery to see how the top flight could pan out.

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