Where Burnley, Fulham and Wolves SHOULD sit in Premier League table - according to xG 'data experts'

Many Premier League fans and managers often say you don't always get the points you deserve – and finally, we have found the statistics to prove it

Wednesday, 28th October 2020, 4:33 pm
Burnley's English manager Sean Dyche leaves after the Premier League football match between Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur at Turf Moor.

Expected goals (xG) is a football metric, which allows you to correctly evaluate team and player performance.

At understat.com they believe that in a low-scoring game such as football, final match score does not provide a clear picture of performance.

They say more and more sports analytics turn to advanced models like xG, which is a statistical measure of the quality of chances created and conceded.

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Liverpool top the expected points table with 12.68 points (-0.32)

Their goal was to create the most precise method for shot quality evaluation.

Here's how the current Premier League table looks according to their methods…

Simply scroll down and click through to see where your Premier League team stands in the understat.com league table:

Everton's expected points total is 11.19 (-1.81)
Tottenham's expected points total is is 10.66 (-0.34)
Brighton's expected points total of 9.96 (+4.96)
West Ham's expected points total is 9.84 (+1.84)
Chelsea's expected points total is 9.55 (+0.55)
Leicester's expected points total is 9.06 (-2.94)
Southampton's expected points total is 9.02 (-0.98)
Leeds' expected points total is 8.46 (-1.54)
Aston Villa's expected points total is 8.23 (-3.77)
Arsenal's expected points total is 8.11 (-0.89)
Crystal Palace's expected points total is 7.37 (-2.63)
Manchester City's expected points total is 7.30 (0.70)
Sheffield United's expected points total is 6.62 (+5.62)
Newcastle United's expected points total is 6.35 (-1.65)
Wolves' expected points total is 6.35 (-3.65)
Burnley's expected points total is 6.05 (+5.05)
Manchester United's expected points total is 5.47 (-1.53)
Fulham's expected points total is 4.65 (+3.65)
West Brom's expected points total is 2.92 (-0.08)